Alabama vs. Ohio State odds: College Football Playoff National Championship picks, predictions from top model

Coach Nick Saban goes for his record seventh national title on Monday night when the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide face the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes in the College Football Playoff National Championship in Miami. Saban is tied with Bear Bryant for most all-time with six titles and has an offense that features Heisman winner DeVonta Smith at receiver and award finalist Mac Jones at quarterback. The Tide (12-0) could be in for a shootout, as Ohio State (7-0) counters with quarterback Justin Fields and running back Trey Sermon.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Crimson Tide are eight-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Ohio State odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 75. Before entering any Ohio State vs. Alabama picks, you’ll want to see the latest college football predictions and betting advice from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It entered the final week of bowl season a sizzling 56-36 on all top-rated picks, returning over $400. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Ohio State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football odds for Ohio State vs. Alabama:

Ohio State vs. Alabama: Crimson Tide -8Ohio State vs. Alabama over-under: 75Ohio State vs. Alabama money line: Buckeyes +250; Crimson Tide -300Ohio State: RB Trey Sermon has 636 of his 868 rushing yards over the past three gamesAlabama: WR DeVonta Smith had at least 130 receiving yards eight times this season

Latest Odds:

Alabama Crimson Tide

Why Alabama can cover 

Alabama is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight games following an against the spread loss, and the Tide took their foot off the gas late in their 31-14 win against Notre Dame. They were favored by 20 because they score more than 48 points per game and Jones and Smith have been nearly impossible to stop. Jones threw for more than 4,000 yards with 36 TDs and just four interceptions, completing 77 percent of his passes. The offense averages more than 540 yards per game. 

Smith had 105 catches for 1,641 yards and 20 TDs and also scored on an 84-yard punt return. Running back Najee Harris also makes a difference for the Tide, who are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight against Big Ten teams.

The defense allows fewer than 20 points per contest, and All-America cornerback Patrick Surtain (11 passes defended) and a bevy of talented young players, including Brian Branch (two interceptions, TD), lock down the secondary.  

Why Ohio State can cover

Since the College Football Playoff began in 2014, underdogs are 5-1 against the spread in the title game. Fields completed more than 73 percent of his throws this season and threw for 1,906 yards and 21 TDs in seven games. He has a strong rapport with receiver receiver Christian Olave, who has 660 yards and seven scores after putting up 132 and two TDs in the semifinal.

The Buckeyes are 19-7 against the spread in their last 26 games as underdogs, and running back Trey Sermon also could give the Tide trouble. The Buckeyes rank seventh in the nation in rushing at 275.7 yards per game, and Sermon ran for 193 against Clemson.

The Buckeyes’ defense is led by disruptive linebacker Pete Werner, who has a sack and two forced fumbles. The Buckeyes have recovered 11 fumbles, and linebacker Justin Hilliard covered three of them.

How to make Alabama vs. Ohio State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, suggesting sacks and takeaways will play a major role. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick here.

So who wins Ohio State vs. Alabama in the 2021 College Football National Championship Game? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Alabama vs. Ohio State spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 56-36 roll on college football picks, and find out.

Published: 2021-01-11 04:16:08

Tags: #Alabama #Ohio #State #odds #College #Football #Playoff #National #Championship #picks #predictions #top #model


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