Buccaneers vs. Packers odds, line: NFL picks, 2021 NFC Championship Game predictions by advanced model

The Green Bay Packers are firing on all cylinders. In fact, they have won seven consecutive games and nine of their last 10, with the only loss during that span coming in overtime. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers also are on a roll, posting six straight victories since their bye in Week 13. One winning streak will come to an end on Sunday when the top-seeded Packers host the Buccaneers in the 2021 NFC Championship Game. Kickoff from Lambeau Field is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. ET.

Green Bay (14-3) won its final six regular-season games by an average of 15 points before posting a 32-18 victory over the Los Angeles Rams in the Divisional Round. After outscoring its opponents 148-75 over the last four regular season games, Tampa Bay (13-5) recorded eight- and 10-point victories at Washington and New Orleans this postseason. Green Bay is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Packers odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is 51.5. Before making any Packers vs. Buccaneers picks, see the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters Championship Weekend in the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Bucs vs. Packers in the NFC Championship Game 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are the latest NFL odds and trends for Packers vs. Bucs:

Buccaneers vs. Packers spread: Green Bay -3.5Buccaneers vs. Packers over-under: 51.5 pointsBuccaneers vs. Packers money line: Green Bay -180, Tampa Bay +160GB: Packers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home playoff gamesTB: Bucs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five playoff contests as underdogs

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-3.5

Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay possessed one of the most potent offenses in the NFL during the regular season, ranking fifth in total offense (389 yards), eighth in rushing (132.4), ninth in passing (256.6), and first in scoring (31.8 points). Having a week of rest only energized the unit, which outgained the Rams 484-244 in total yards and 188-96 on the ground while recording a 28-17 advantage in first downs. The 484 yards were the most registered in a playoff victory in franchise history and the highest amount allowed by a top-ranked defense in a postseason game since the 1970 merger.

The Packers clicked from the start against Los Angeles, producing points on their first five possessions. They have scored at least 30 points in seven of their last eight contests and 13 times in 17 games overall this season.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Brady is no stranger to this stage, as he’ll be making his NFL-record 14th start in a conference championship game, twice as many as Joe Montana, who ranks second in the category. The 43-year-old Brady won nine of the first 13 outings, all with New England, and went on to capture six Super Bowl titles. He owns a 32-11 record in the NFL playoffs and is the all-time leader with 77 touchdown passes after throwing two in each of Tampa Bay’s victories this postseason. 

However, Brady is not the only reason the Buccaneers are playing for the NFC crown, as they possess a defense that ranked sixth overall (327.1 yards) and No. 1 against the run (80.6) during the regular season. Tampa Bay also was eighth in points allowed (22.2) and registered the fourth-most sacks (48) en route to a wild-card berth.

The club was sixth with a plus-eight turnover differential and took full advantage against the Saints last weekend, turning the first three of New Orleans’ four miscues into touchdowns.

How to make Buccaneers vs. Packers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations showing the teams combining for 52 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see which side to back here.

So who wins Packers vs. Buccaneers in the 2021 NFL Playoffs? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Packers vs. Buccaneers spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model on a 120-78 roll, and find out.

Published: 2021-01-22 14:39:03

Tags: #Buccaneers #Packers #odds #line #NFL #picks #NFC #Championship #Game #predictions #advanced #model

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